The Year 2015 in Asia
The news in Asia this year was dominated by the U.S.-China
confrontation in the South China Sea. Early in the year it became obvious that
Beijing was turning small reefs and atolls it claimed into larger, artificial
islands, some with runways capable of supporting high performance aircraft.
Washington challenged Beijing’s claim of sovereignty over these islands by
sending a U.S. Navy destroyer within a few kilometers of one of them. The year
was quieter in the East China Sea where Japan and China dispute ownership of
islands there. The calm was deceptive in that Chinese Coast Guard cutters regularly
intruded into Japanese-claimed waters about every two weeks. Other news from
Asia in 2015:
The mouse that roared While other countries in Southeast Asia
complained about the “nine-dash-line” on official maps that make it seem like
China is claiming the entire South China Sea, the Philippines actually did
something about it. Manila challenged Beijing’s interpretation before the
International Tribunal in The Hague. Near the end of the year, the court ruled
that the Philippines did have standing to challenge the action, with a further
ruling on the challenge in 2016. Beijing has said it would not abide by any
ruling.
Japan’s new military
posture. Street demonstrations not
seen in Tokyo in decades, greeted the Japanese government’s new legislation
creating the legal framework for permitting Japan to cooperate more fully with allies
such as the United States. The groundwork was laid the previous year when the
cabinet re-interpreted the country’s pacifistic constitution to permit
“collective defense.” Passage of the
“security bills” was a major victory for Prime Minister Abe, who was re-elected
head of the governing Liberal Democratic Party unopposed.
Nepal Earthquake. The deadliest earthquake in 80 years hit
Nepal on April 25. The magnitude 7.8 quake’s epicenter was between the capital,
Kathmandu, and Mt. Everest. Officially, 8,857 died, including 19 who were trapped
by a quake-sparked avalanche on Mt. Everest, making it the deadliest day in the
mountain’s recent history. The shaking damaged or destroyed hundreds of
century-old buildings, including some designated World Heritage Sites by the
United Nations.
Myanmar Election.
The National League for Democracy, led by Aung San Suu Chi, won a smashing
election victory on November 8, capturing about 80 percent of the vote for both
houses of parliament. Ironically, it was about the same number of seats the NLD
won in 1990, in an election annulled by the military government. This time it
seems certain that the military will stay neutral (it still has a guaranteed
block of seats). The president will be chosen in March by a complicated
formula, but will almost certainly go to a senir NLD figure. Aung San is
constitutionally barred from being president but will undoubtedly be the real
power in Myanmar.
Malaysian scandal. For much of the year Malaysia was obsessed
with a political funding sandal linked to Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak. The
plot thickened when the Wall Street
Journal reported that $700 worth of supposed political contributions had
found their way into Najib’s personal bank account. Thousands of demonstrators
rallied in Kuala Lumpur urging him to resign. The PM sacked his deputy and
shuffled his cabinet to remove opponents. Former Prime Minister Mahathir
Mohamad, who has never liked any of his successors, also called on Najib to
quit, say he was turning Malaysia into a “pariah state.”
Disaster-prone. China’s 2015 was punctuated by two disasters
pointing to corners cut in the headlong race for economic growth. On August 12
explosives stored in two warehouses in Tianjin detonated, devastating the port
area and killing about 160 people. The head of the port authority was charged
with negligence. On Dec. 20 following heavy rains, a huge land slide toppled
buildings near Shenzhen that had been built on a mountain of illegally piled up
construction waste. Approximately 75 people were killed or are missing. The
waste dump manager committed suicide.
Ma-Xi Meeting While very little substantive came out of the
meeting in Singapore Nov. 7 between President Ma Ying-jeou of the Republic of
China and President Xi Jinping, it was notable as being the first time the
leaders China and Taiwan had met face-to-face since the end of the Chinese
Civil War in 1949. It remains to be seen whether the meeting gives a boost to
the Kuomintang candidate, Eric Chu in the January, 2016 presidential election.
Chairman Tsai-Ing-wen of the opposition Democrtic Progressive Party, is
currently leading.
China Devalues Yuan. Beijing shocked much of the financial world
when on Aug 11 it devalued the yuan.
Two devaluations coming back-to-back, lowered the value of the yuan against the dollar by about 3.5 per
cent. The central bank offered no explanation or advance warning, but it was
widely assumed to be a reaction to poor export figures and overall weak
economic growth. China has been criticized repeatedly in the past for
deliberately keeping its currency under-valued, although that criticism has in
recent years abated somewhat as Beijing took steps to strengthen the yuan.
Lee Kuan Yew RIP All of Singapore mourned as Lee Kuan Yew died
March 23 at age 91. Lee was literally the founding father of independent
Singapore and its longest-serving prime minister. Though most of those years he
ruled without a single opposition voice in parliament. That begun to change
slowly as the political opposition began to grow and claim at least a few sets in
parliament. Opposition thoughts were temporarily set aside as tens of thousands
of Singporeans mourned the death.